Real Estate Debt Structures, Risk & Financial Modelling
Learn how to construct a robust real estate geared cashflow model from scratch. Understand senior debt and mezzanine finance for investment and lending decisions. Master credit fundamentals which will enhance your property lending analysis and underwriting processes.
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Advanced Real Estate Financial Modelling & Debt Structuring (Excel-Based, 3-Day Course)
Course Overview
A Practical Approach to Geared (Leveraged) Investments, Development Appraisal, and Debt Structuring in Excel
Course Overview
This Excel-intensive 3-day training programme is designed for real estate professionals, financial analysts, and investors looking to develop advanced debt and financial models. The course is structured to provide hands-on experience in building real estate financial models from scratch in Excel, using key formulas, data validation, structured references, and dynamic sensitivity analysis.
Participants will gain expertise in senior debt structuring, real estate development valuation, and financial risk assessment using Excel’s built-in financial functions, data tables, and scenario analysis tools.
Course Content
Day 1: Geared Real Estate Investments – Senior Debt Structures & Leveraged Buy-Out (LBO) Modelling in Excel
Key Learning Outcomes:
- Building a structured debt schedule in Excel using multiple senior debt structures
- Using Excel’s financial functions to model:
- Interest-Only Loans (Bullet Loans)
- Constant Amortisation
- Constant Payment – Fully Amortising
- Constant Payment with a Balloon
- Rolled-Up Interest (R-Up)
- Debt serviceability modelling using Interest Coverage Ratio (ICR), Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR), Loan-to-Value (LTV), and Debt Yield
- IRR and NPV analysis for leveraged investments in Excel
- Comparing debt structures and impact on investor returns
- Decision making ability for optimal loan structures
Topics Covered:
- Introduction to Debt Structuring in Excel
- Understanding the capital stack and debt financing structure
- Creating a debt input sheet with structured references
- Using Named Ranges to improve model efficiency
- Applying Data Validation to control user inputs
- Excel-Based Modelling of Senior Debt Structures
- Interest-Only (Bullet Loan): Structuring principal repayment at maturity
- Constant Amortisation: Using IF formulas and amortisation schedules
- Constant Payment (Fully Amortising): Using the PMT function
- Constant Payment with a Balloon: Modelling residual balances with SUMIFS
- Rolled-Up Interest (R-Up): Implementing compounded interest calculations
- Leveraged Buy-Out (LBO) Modelling in Excel
- Constructing a debt waterfall using SUMPRODUCT and INDEX-MATCH
- Forecasting cash flows under different debt repayment structures
- Automating debt drawdowns and repayments with conditional formatting
- Debt Covenant Compliance & Scenario Analysis
- ICR, DSCR, and Debt Yield formulas for covenant stress testing
- Setting up dynamic scenario analysis using Data Tables
- Forecasting Loan-to-Value (LTV) ratios with LOOKUP and CHOOSE functions
- Creating Excel-based risk assessments using conditional formatting
- Case Study: Excel-Based Modelling of a Geared Property Investment
- Building an investment model with senior debt financing
- Find optimal capital structure with Goal Seek and Data Tables
- Comparing debt structures and impact on investor returns
Day 2: Real Estate Development Appraisal, Valuation, and Analysis in Excel
Key Learning Outcomes:
- Building an Excel-based development feasibility model
- Modelling construction costs and pro-forma cash flows
- Conducting discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation in Excel
Topics Covered:
- Development Feasibility Modelling in Excel
- Using residual valuation to determine land values
- Forecasting Gross Development Value (GDV) vs. Net Development Value (NDV)
- Setting up a DCF model using XNPV and XIRR functions
- Modelling Development Costs and Revenues
- Building an input table for site costs, hard costs, and soft costs
- Implementing cost distribution curves using:
- Straight Line (SUM function)
- S-Curve (NORMSDIST function)
- Known Curves (user-defined inputs)
- Excel-Based Development Cash Flow Modelling
- Setting up a monthly cash flow timeline
- Structuring developer equity injections vs. debt drawdowns
- Linking construction costs to financing needs using IF formulas
- Case Study: Modelling a Real Estate Development in Excel
- Constructing a development cash flow model
- Using XIRR and XNPV analysis to assess viability
- Running break-even analysis on cost overruns and delays
Day 3: Geared Real Estate Development – Senior Debt, Mezzanine Debt, and Joint Ventures in Excel
Key Learning Outcomes:
- Debt structuring in Excel: Senior debt, mezzanine debt, preferred equity
- Building a debt waterfall model with structured references
- Using IF, MIN, and MAX functions for conditional repayments
- Optimising investor returns using debt layering techniques
Topics Covered:
- Running equity IRR and NPV sensitivity analysis and debt facilities into the models. Analyse investment – grade commercial property transactions inAdvanced Real Estate Development Financing
- Modelling a capital stack with multiple debt layers
- Understanding rolled-up interest and cash sweep mechanisms
- Using Excel’s financial functions to structure debt repayments
2. Excel-Based Modelling of Mezzanine Debt & Preferred Equity
- Forecasting debt vs. equity cash flows using INDEX-MATCH
- Modelling mezzanine debt cash flow
- Creating a dynamic waterfall model with structured cash distributions
3. Joint Venture (JV) Modelling in Excel
- Setting up preferred equity waterfalls
- Using IF and MAX functions for promote structures
- Simulating profit-sharing mechanisms dynamically
4. Debt Structure Optimisation & Sensitivity Analysis
- Comparing debt financing scenarios using Goal Seek
- Running stress tests on equity IRR using Data Tables
- Evaluating refinancing options in Excel
5. Case Study: Structuring a Geared Development Project in Excel
- Running equity IRR and NPV sensitivity analysis
- Hands-on modelling of a leveraged real estate development
- Debt financing comparison: Senior vs. Mezzanine vs. JV
Target Audience:
- Real estate investors and fund managers
- Financial analysts and investment professionals
- Developers, surveyors, and lenders
- Anyone looking to master Excel-based financial modelling in real estate debt financing
